EU study explores fishing sector’s future scenarios to 2050, addressing climate, market challenges, and sustainability goals
EU Study Explores Fishing Sector’s Future Amid Climate and Market Challenges
The European Commission will unveil findings from the Fishers of the Future study on Tuesday, 14 January 2025.
This groundbreaking research, conducted by Tetra Tech and partners, envisions scenarios for the EU fishing sector’s evolution through 2050, highlighting potential challenges and opportunities for fishers.
Shaping Fisheries in a Changing World
The study is the result of consultations with EU fishers, advisory councils, and social partners throughout 2024. It explores how climate change, market dynamics, and geopolitical factors could reshape the fishing profession, focusing on both small-scale and large-scale fisher profiles. Four scenarios emerge:
- Scenario 1: Thriving Responsibly – Successful adaptation to challenges, with high demand for EU-caught fish.
- Scenario 2: Chasing Declining Stocks – Climate change and dwindling stocks amid strong demand.
- Scenario 3: Contested Markets – Moderate climate change with decreased consumer demand for EU-caught fish.
- Scenario 4: Scarcity and Survival – Low demand and limited fish stocks create a precarious environment.
Commissioner for Fisheries and Oceans Costas Kadis remarked,
“The findings will guide us in ensuring long-term competitiveness and sustainability for the fishing sector. By addressing emerging trends, we can secure a thriving industry and healthy marine ecosystems for future generations.”
Event Highlights and Future Applications
The event, to be held in Brussels and online, will provide a platform to discuss the study’s findings and their implications for the European Oceans Pact and the evaluation of the Common Fisheries Policy. These discussions will influence policy reflections throughout 2025, forming a roadmap for fisheries by 2040.
The full study also outlines strategies for fishers to adapt to societal roles beyond seafood provision, reflecting their broader contributions to coastal communities and marine conservation.
For more information on the event and agenda, visit the European Commission’s website.